Explaining and Predicting: The Evolving Dynamics on the U.S. Southern Border

As the immigration debate heats up in the public discourse and Congress, this Explainer assesses how immigration dynamics in the U.S. have evolved under Presidents Biden, Trump, and prior administrations, and—more importantly—what to expect in 2024 and beyond.
Organized Crime in Mexico and the Evolving Government Response

Despite some of AMLO’s actions effectively limit security cooperation with the U.S., such as the 2020 National Security Law, the U.S.-Mexico security relationship remains strong at the institutional level.
Colombia Was Named a Major Non-NATO Ally: Now, it’s Mexico’s Turn

With the Biden administration enjoying a more productive relationship with the AMLO administration than its predecessor, now is the time for President Biden to sign an MNNA agreement.
AMLO’s threat to Latin American democracy

Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) has defended his silence following the U.S. presidential election based on non-intervention, but his rhetoric highlights a growing transnational notion that no election can necessarily be trusted, a trend that undermines democracy and will be a headwind that the Biden administration must confront as it assumes office.
Will the U.S.-Latin American relationship actually change after elections?

While headlines are full of Trump vs Biden administration predictions regarding U.S.-Latin American relations, on many important issues Latin America may not experience a substantive difference beyond rhetoric.
AMLO’s cautious foreign policy
AMLO’s foreign policy is far from the populist, anti-American rhetoric of his campaign and much of his political life. Nevertheless, his make-no-waves position is fraught with contradictions.
2019: Trends, risks and hard questions in Latin America
Unresolved challenges of organized crime, weak governance and extra-hemispheric actors threaten instability and to erode U.S. influence. It’s time for U.S. policymakers to face some tough questions.
The many messages of AMLO’s first address to the nation
Unlike his victory speech, AMLO’s first address as President of Mexico was full of mixed messages, casting even more doubt over the country’s course for the next six years.
¿Vamos hacia un TLCAN bilateral?
Tras un año de negociaciones, los Estados Unidos y México concluyeron la revisión del Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte (TLCAN). Pero, ¿seguimos en el entendido de que estamos ante un acuerdo trilateral o vamos hacia un acuerdo bilateral?
Angry Mexico
Instead of voting for a candidate with concrete policy proposals to improve a difficult situation, many Mexican voters seem to ready to say “screw the system—and everything else along with it.”