Petro’s Receding Power in Latin America’s Political Chessboard
Petro’s relevance is in decline and his relations with incoming governments far and near will be complicated.
Daniela Rueda
December 18, 2023
Chile Shifts Rightward on the Eve of Another Constitutional Vote
With so many Chileans willing to limit rights to solve the country’s security problems, the main question for the future seems to be who will reap the benefits of the country’s malaise, Chile’s traditional right or a hard-right autocrat.
Cynthia Arnson
December 14, 2023
How Long Will Chile’s Dissatisfied Democrats Remain Democrats?
The faltering constitutional process indeed captures Chileans’ portrayal as ‘dissatisfied democrats’: they believe in democracy but dislike its results.
Jennifer Piscopo
December 13, 2023
Caribbean Geopolitics and Curaçao’s Isla Refinery
The lengthy odyssey surrounding the reactivation of Curaçao’s refinery is pulling the Dutch Caribbean island into a complicated matrix of geopolitics between the United States, the Netherlands, China, and Venezuela.
Scott B. MacDonald
December 8, 2023
Will Paraguay Capitalize on Its Breakout Moment?
The current Paraguayan government understands the country’s advantageous moment and aims to leverage it in a way that elevates the country’s standing in the Americas.
Allison Fedirka
December 5, 2023
Colombia Is Unprepared to Handle the Risks of Chinese Tech Investment
As the Petro administration seeks to reap the benefits of additional Chinese investment in the technology sector, it should also prepare to understand, analyze, and mitigate potential risks.
Sergio Guzman
December 4, 2023
Would Venezuela Really Invade Essequibo?
The world should not dismiss aggression as impossible. Deterrence against a low-probability threat is cheaper than responding once aggression has begun.
Evan Ellis
November 30, 2023
The Guard Changes in Argentina – A Quick Snapshot
Milei, the candidate, is now President-Elect Milei. His agenda is radical, to put it mildly.
Scott B. MacDonald
November 21, 2023
Bolivia’s Descent into Deep Chaos and the Implications for the Region
The unfolding crisis in Bolivia involves the stability and strategic posture of the country literally at the heart of South America. This turning point also has implications on the future access of Washington’s extra-hemispheric rivals, namely China, Russia, and Iran. With distant, mutually reinforcing global crises elsewhere, Washington’s resources and attention are in ever shorter supply, but Bolivia needs to at least be on its radar screen.
Evan Ellis
November 20, 2023
Elecciones Presidenciales 2023: ¿Cómo pueden afectar a las relaciones Argentina-China?
El resultado de estas elecciones puede tener un impacto en la narrativa de estas relaciones, pero el fondo es muy poco probable que pueda cambiar. Los proyectos y los compromisos, actuales y futuros, están atados en corto y correctamente planificados.
Miguel Angel Melian
November 13, 2023