Colombia election: Too early to call

Don’t pay attention to the voter intention polls at this moment. Although left-wing candidate Gustavo Petro is currently leading the polls there’s significant space for movement in the political realm between now and the elections.
The long and winding road to Colombia’s presidency

There are over sixty—that’s right, 60—candidates competing to become Colombia’s president for the period from 2022 to 2026. Clearly not all of them are going to make it to the final ballot.
Iván Duque, expresidente
Iván Duque, the ex-president

Although Iván Duque still has 14 months left in his term as President of Colombia, all indicators suggest that his post-presidential influence will be significantly diminished compared to that of other former presidents. Actions taken during his tenure—including the timid implementation of the peace agreement, the escalation of violence in rural areas, and the violent police crackdown on recent protests—have already begun to cloud assessments of his presidency. Is there still time for Duque to salvage his legacy?
Nationwide protests roil Colombia

In Colombia this week, demonstrations against a government tax reform proposal evolved into widespread general protests—fueled by the economic and social desperation provoked by the still-raging COVID-19 pandemic—that have been met with brutal repression from state security forces.
The currency of enmity: Why Colombians can’t find common ground on Uribe

The reactions to former President Álvaro Uribe’s arrest hints toward deep divisions within the country, the body politic, and within families across Colombia.
Where’s the party? Is Colombia about to become Peru?
Ivan Duque’s low approval ratings have been blamed on missteps, migrants and a mentor that never seems to go away. But there are structural reasons too, and those aren’t likely to go away after his term.
Colombia’s seeming never-ending violence
The ELN may just have destroyed the possibility of peace in the long-troubled country, not just with the ELN but under the peace agreement with the FARC.
In Colombia, false positives are a false start for peace
The FARC have committed to coming clean about abuses committed during the conflict in a transitional justice tribunal. Will state actors accused of crimes do the same?
Recapturing the mandate for peace in Colombia: Rural populations and elite fragmentation
While elite fractionalization between President Santos and former President Uribe played a tangible role in the outcome of the 2016 plebiscite and has continued to influence Colombian electoral politics, it also provides a window of opportunity for Fajardo’s centrist candidacy.