The reports examine five specific areas—transnational security challenges, institutional capacity, economic growth, demographics, and technology—and how they will shape politics, economic and U.S. relations in South America by 2030.
U.S. President Donald Trump will attend the G20 meetings in Buenos Aires. This will be his first visit to Latin America. Despite a series of crises of global proportion, this is still relevant.
Trade-related negotiation benefits President Trump in two senses: legitimacy and compliance. After a successful renegotiation of NAFTA, look for him to turn to Brazil.
The Argentine president will likely have to face feared stagflation, increasing social tension, and an emboldened Peronist opposition ahead of presidential elections next year.
One year from primary elections, the future of Argentina is torn between economic stagnation, the debate over the decriminalization of abortion, and the corruption of the Kirchner years.
While the nature of the trade relationship between Latin America and India is similar to the Sino-Latin America relationship in its reliance on raw materials, hype over India as a potential alternative to China for the region is largely unfounded.
UNASUR’s failure goes beyond political fortunes. The rhetoric of integration fell flat in the face of reticent national bureaucracies unwilling or unable to give up sovereignty and protectionist policies.
If Mauricio Macri wants Argentina to be taken seriously as a regional leader, he should work with its regional partners to punish the Maduro regime.
As with other natural resources, the source of Latin America’s soy profits—the technological advances contained in the seeds—remains out of reach.
With three visits by high-ranking officials from the U.S. government, February was the busiest month for Latin America in the Trump administration.
