Would Venezuela Really Invade Essequibo?
The world should not dismiss aggression as impossible. Deterrence against a low-probability threat is cheaper than responding once aggression has begun.
Evan Ellis
November 30, 2023
Killing the Golden Goose: Why Maduro Will Not Trade Oil for Elections
Though the payoff may not be immediate, U.S. policymakers and the international community should continue to support measures, such as the recent sanctions-relief policy, that increase the odds of fostering Maduro’s worst fear: division and uncertainty within the regime.
Leonardo Di Bonaventura Altuve
November 16, 2023
Primarias Opositoras: retos para la lucha electoral de frente a las presidenciales venezolanas de 2024
La ganadora absoluta del 2023 ha sido el retorno de la ruta electoral como mecanismo de lucha por la democracia que en octubre ha recibido dos grandes espaldarazos. El 18 con la firma del “Acuerdo parcial sobre la promoción de derechos políticos y garantías electorales para todos” entre los representantes del gobierno de Nicolás Maduro y de la Plataforma Unitaria opositora en la ciudad de Bridgetown, Barbados. El 22 con la realización de las elecciones primarias opositoras.
admin
October 20, 2023
Lessons from Guatemala for Venezuela’s Electoral Odyssey
The lessons from Guatemala echo loudly: even if free and fair elections are held, a transition of power is not a straightforward process. The international community’s role in facilitating an effective transition in Venezuela becomes paramount.
admin
October 19, 2023
Brazil and the Illiberal Anti-U.S. Alliance
Lula’s work to create a de facto anti-U.S. illiberal alliance of Latin American leftist regimes and extra-hemispheric U.S. rivals further comes at a time in which those countries geographically closest to the United States—including Mexico, the Northern Triangle, and parts of the Caribbean—are moving away from political and security cooperation with the US, and toward a deepen embrace of the PRC.
admin
June 20, 2023
Venezuelans Continue to Suffer. What Can the International Community Do?
When the international community listens, they often learn that the Venezuelan crisis—despite its scale—is drastically underfunded, and refugee- and migrant-led organizations are leading the humanitarian response.
admin
March 24, 2023
A Feminist Democracy for Venezuela
All public policy, humanitarian support, investment efforts, state reforms should have a cross-cutting feminist perspective aimed at strengthening society.
admin
February 9, 2023
Una democracia feminista para Venezuela
Es más, toda política pública, apoyo humanitario, esfuerzos de inversión y/o reformas de Estado debe contar con una perspectiva feminista transversal cuyo objetivo sea fortalecer a la sociedad.
admin
January 23, 2023
Lula and the Revival of UNASUR and CELAC
For either CELAC or UNASUR to succeed in the longer term, Lula must help move them away from their ideological roots. Given their histories, this is no easy task, but neither is it impossible.
Greg Weeks
January 17, 2023
Maduro y Mugabe ayudaron a arruinar sus economías. A ellos les funcionó.
Tanto Nicolás Maduro como Robert Mugabe fueron hábiles para sobrevivir a todo tipo de tormentas políticas, por lo que no son exactamente incompetentes o tontos. Venezuela y Zimbabue son, más bien, ejemplos de un fenómeno peligroso: colapsos de crecimiento inducidos políticamente.
admin
December 9, 2022