While uncertainty over the deal’s ratification still looms large, there is growing momentum on both sides of the Atlantic, sparking cautious optimism about its future.
With right-left polarization amongst the region’s politicians, and growing U.S.-China competition among its economies, Latin America’s most likely response to any U.S. trade actions will be further intra-regional conflict and division.
Whoever ends up helping Cuba rebuild its power grid will hold one of the keys to unlocking economic recovery on the island and influence in the Caribbean.
In both Guyana and Suriname, there remains considerable work to be done to spread each nation’s wealth.
Milei has moved rapidly to restructure the country’s dysfunctional economic framework, and his economic program has become a global case study of sorts which economists the world over are monitoring closely.
While AMLO was able to get away with little consequence in his support of Cuba, Sheinbaum’s Mexico could pay for it.
While policy clashes between the elected governments of Mexico and the United States in the coming years appear likely, the degree to which those tensions degrade the commercial relationship and security cooperation that is vital to both will depend on the forbearance and statesmanship of leaders on each side.
Despite the hurdles, the MAS crisis and Morales’s waning popularity hint at a possible political shift, one that could strengthen Bolivia’s battered democracy, pave the way for judicial reform, and address urgent environmental issues.
The paradoxical thing about Trump’s victory is that though Republicans likely won because of the importance of the economy and voters’ perception of the Democrats’ mishandling of it, Trump’s agenda based on lower taxes, higher tariffs and migrant deportations threatens to derail the recovery.
This report seeks to analyze the potential impact on Latin America of the economic policies likely to be pursued by Donald Trump’s incoming administration.
