Will Maduro crack under pressure?

Venezuela's Maduro will either fall under pressure and call off Sunday's election, or he'll ignore the threats and go ahead with his Constituent Assembly.

Author

 

Tension in Venezuela is growing by the minute, as the July 30th election to vote on President Maduro’s proposed Constituent Assembly to rewrite the country’s constitution nears. At this point, only Maduro and his band of loyal followers believe this is a good idea. Pressure to call off the elections is coming from all sides. From Trump imposing sanctions on 13 senior Venezuelan officials this week and threatening to impose economic sanctions (bad idea) on Venezuela if the government went ahead with the assembly, to Delta and Avianca suspending their flights to Venezuela, to the Venezuelan opposition having called for a 48-hour general strike on Wednesday, the country is on the brink, with the international community watching. 

The only countries Maduro can turn to for support are those he subsidizes. And while they can protect him from the OAS, they can’t do much to stop U.S. sanctions or the sanctions of other countries should they decide to step up. Maduro is faced with a tough decision: will he crack under pressure? Or will he ignore the threats and go ahead with his Constituent Assembly? All our questions will be answered on Sunday. 

Photo credit: Arcadio Esquivel, Costa Rica, Caglecartoons.com

More Commentary

Prospects for Colombia in 2025

Nevertheless, we continue to believe that Colombia’s institutions are strong and will prevent any democratic backsliding or authoritarian tendencies that may emerge from Petro who has become increasingly frustrated and exasperated with the political blockages, legal obstructions or financial constraints.

Read more >

Suriname After Bouterse

Whoever assumes the leadership mantle in the May 2025 election should look closely at Bouterse’s example, both the good and the bad; there is decidedly something that can be learned from it.

Read more >
Scroll to Top